Loomis Sayles' Investment Outlook
Modest total returns and above-average volatility may define the risk asset landscape in 2019 as economic and corporate earnings growth slow.
Outlook 2019: Despite Current Slowdown, Will We See More of the Same?
For the past several years, despite mounting political concerns and a few short-term setbacks, the economy and markets have continued to grow. But now that story seems to be changing. With key economic indicators and investor confidence taking a hit recently, what will this mean for 2019? Commonwealth CIO Brad McMillan presents his expectations for the new year.
Navigating A Downhill Climb: 2019 ETF Market Outlook
Corporate profits and economic growth remain positive, but are past their peak. Investors may soon find that reaching the summit was the easy part. The real challenges occur in the climb down. Chief Investment Strategist Michael Arone, CFA and Head of SPDR® Americas Research Matthew Bartolini, CFA present three strategies to position for a market with potentially more downside than upside.
A Case for Mid Cap Equities
Adaptability. Growth potential. Overlooked opportunity. Mid-cap stocks may be the missing piece to help solve for growth. We make the case for why advisors may want to consider this often-underappreciated asset class.
Fixed-Income Outlook: Jogging to the Exits
Guggenheim Investments’ recently published Fourth Quarter 2018 Fixed-Income Outlook reflects its investment management team’s view that the risk of a sudden widening in spreads next year is rising and could shock fixed-income investors who fail to position defensively now. “The key here is to manage this shift in a timely manner,” said Scott Minerd, Global CIO and Chairman of Investments. “Call it a jog to exit credit and liquidity risk.”
Pacific Funds Strategic Income Portfolio Manager Q&A
As fixed-income markets are constantly changing, Pacific FundsSM Strategic Income (the Fund) has the ability to adapt to these changing environments. The Fund’s investment team seeks opportunities across an array of securities including: high-yield bonds, investment-grade corporate bonds, Treasuries, floating-rate loans, and equities. Pacific Funds Strategic Income Portfolio Manager Brian Robertson discusses the process and philosophy behind the Fund.
Fixed Income: Investing in Troubled Countries
Volatility in emerging markets (EM) is to be expected when global conditions shift. Sell-offs in EM can be a good time to be contrarian by differentiating between the casualties and the survivors. We believe that identifying the different stages to a crisis and looking closely at troubled countries such as Turkey and Argentina can reveal opportunities to take advantage of potential recoveries.
How to Command the Best Purchase Price for Your Business
Some advisors today are rushing to sell their practices after very little forethought, and they could be leaving money on the table. If you want to get what your practice is worth, focus on four key tenets—business, management, financial, and market—to demonstrate your value to potential buyers.
Pacific Funds Strategic Income Portfolio Manager Q&A
Pacific FundsSM Strategic Income Portfolio Manager Brian Robertson discusses the portfolio management team’s investment process and philosophy.
Volatility, Political Risk, and Valuations—The Perfect Storm?
The next few years are likely to see a flow of money away from financial assets, hitting returns and leading to a spike in volatility. Emerging markets offer some attractive valuations at present, and the U.S. economy looks to be in good shape but may face headwinds further down the road.
Do global bond funds generate alpha?
Do global bond funds generate alpha?
Strategies for Targeting Organic Growth
Growing your business through practice acquisition is a good goal, but it's a long-term strategy that can take years to accomplish. How can you meet your growth objectives in the meantime? By focusing on these client-facing activities that are proven revenue drivers.
Loomis Sayles' Investment Outlook
Growth and inflation within the world’s largest economies should remain near current levels, keeping the positive operating environment for companies intact.
Is U.S. Treasuries’ “Flight to Quality” Status Under Threat?
U.S. Treasuries have traditionally been regarded as the ultimate “flight to quality” asset, but it is unclear whether they will be so in future. One reason for this is that issuance is threatening to outstrip demand; another is that the traditional negative correlation between Treasuries and equities appears to be breaking down.
How advisors can add alpha through relationship management
The evidence shows that high trust correlates with client satisfaction, referrals, and business development. Vanguard's research shows how advisors can focus on relationship management to build their practices.
Multi-Asset Income: Sustainable Income Focused on Quality and GRIT
The Loomis Sayles Multi-Asset Income Team shares their approach to creating sustainable, consistent income through any market environment.
New Vanguard research: Planning for healthcare costs in retirement
Vanguard’s healthcare research analyzes the personal factors that influence annual health care costs as well as those that could require some individuals to plan for higher replacement ratios. It examines several proposed important changes to the way that healthcare costs are typically discussed and modeled. See how framing annual healthcare costs as an incremental change is a more practical approach than focusing on daunting lump-sum estimates.
Staying the Course
Pacific FundsSM portfolio managers discuss how they were able to “stay the course” during the market volatility in early 2018.
Vanguard’s Research on Global Fixed-Income Allocations
Vanguard’s researchers looked at the global, investment-grade, fixed income landscape and quantified the diversification benefits of reducing local-market-specific risk factors. They also explored the factors that can influence sizing a hedged global bond allocation, such as home-bias considerations and the potential for reducing volatility.
2018 Perspectives Mid-Year Outlook: Tailwinds, Headwinds, and Investment Implications
Given an improving global growth story and rising asset prices, what do we expect for the remainder of 2018? In this outlook, Pacific Funds investment managers discuss insights, themes, and trends that may shape the market for the rest of the year.
Investment Outlook July 2018
Momentum in the US economy relative to the rest of the world should keep the Fed on its current path to higher short-term interest rates.
Vanguard’s framework for retirement planning
Vanguard’s retirement planning framework allows retirees to prioritize their unique needs and align their financial resources to achieve their goals and mitigate risks.
INVEST LIKE THE PROS: Using Liquidity Premiums to Drive Better Portfolio Outcomes
At a time of low expected returns, low current yields and economic uncertainty, individual investors are demanding new options. Recent advances in product design enable investors to access less liquid and illiquid institutional-caliber alternatives in a “user-friendly” format which preserves the integrity of the underlying strategy. These new product designs contrast mutual funds which may contain watered-down liquid versions of the original.
New thinking about liquidity, its role in a portfolio and improved access to a wide spectrum of alternatives enables investors to deploy less liquid strategies and capitalize on liquidity premiums.
High Yield in Variable Markets
Christopher Romanelli examines the factors that could support the high yield market in a world of tighter monetary policy.
Enhanced Portfolio Diversification: The Power of "&"
Most investors, whether institutional or individual, tend to believe that stocks are a good—perhaps even the best—investment in the long run. However, the reason for expecting good performance from stocks is perhaps not always clearly articulated: Quite simply, it is because they are risky. Investors also tend to believe that investing in alternatives, such as managed futures, necessitates sacrificing some of their stock and/or bond asset allocation. This Insight explains how investors can have both the diversification benefits of managed futures, and their traditional stock/bond portfolio. Thus, the power of “&”.
What are the real threats to index investing?
What are the circumstances that may cause an indexing strategy to look more or less appealing in the short term?
How Commonwealth’s Investment Research Team Can Make a Difference for You and Your Clients
Institutional-quality research for you and your clients. Guidance on investment management programs, equities, fixed income, and alternatives. A dedicated SRI/ESG resource. Direct access to our chief investment officer. That’s the value-add you get from Commonwealth Financial Network’s Investment Research team.
May White Paper: Looking Under the Hood
In a recent Webinar, we introduced the Equinox “Ampersand” concept. Here, we try to provide not just a recap, but a more in-depth “under the hood” look at some of the details of the structure, to which we could not do justice during the relatively short Webinar. We also try to address some of the questions and concerns we have heard.
Loans or Bonds?
With current yields for high-yield bonds and floating-rate loans nearly equal, investors give up little income potential to move higher in the capital structure with loans, which helps reduce downside risk and volatility in their portfolio. The portfolio managers of Pacific Asset Management, manager for Pacific Funds ℠ Fixed-Income Funds, discuss how to navigate these markets.
Little Ado About Volatility
Spikes in volatility levels can impact returns on a fund’s portfolio. The relatively low leverage point (1.25X) for Portfolio+ ETFs provide less impact of negative compounding over time for long-term investors.
Why Vanguard believes allocating to active management is viable
For those who are comfortable with the characteristics of active investments, an allocation to them is viable.
Loomis Sayles Investment Outlook
We expect the upward trend in rates to continue, but at a fairly slow pace that shouldn’t disrupt risk assets.
Bricks and Clicks: The Changing Nature of Retail
In recent years, the retail industry has experienced major shake-ups in regard to shifting business models, including the increasing popularity of e-commerce. Businesses that rely on revenue exclusively from physical stores—once the all-important showrooms for goods and services—have not only become less relevant, but also less efficient from a cost perspective.
The Risk Contribution of Stocks: Part 3
Part 3 of 3: Most investors tend to believe that stocks are a good—perhaps even the best—investment in the long run. However, the reason for expecting good performance from stocks is perhaps not always clearly articulated: Quite simply, it is because they are risky.
In pursuit of alpha: Evaluating active and passive strategies
The drivers of alpha can be identified. Here’s how to assess the relative performance of U.S. equity mutual funds and ETFs in a factor-based framework.
The drivers behind client satisfaction, referrals, and business success
Advisors who develop deeper client relationships and become “highly trusted” will enjoy more referrals and greater wallet share. Here’s evidence that high trust correlates with client satisfaction, referrals, and business success.
Loomis Sayles FX Trading: Capabilities, Strategies & Solutions
FX trading involves infinite complexities, opportunities and risks. Loomis Sayles breaks down some of the concepts and describes the firm's approach.
The Risk Contribution of Stocks: Part 2
Part 2 of 3: Most investors tend to believe that stocks are a good—perhaps even the best—investment in the long run. However, the reason for expecting good performance from stocks is perhaps not always clearly articulated: Quite simply, it is because they are risky.
Bricks and Clicks: The Changing Nature of Retail
In recent years, the retail industry has experienced major shake-ups, including the increasing popularity of e-commerce. But the rise in e-commerce has not impacted all retail sectors equally. To understand the implications of this shift, we interviewed the portfolio managers of Rothschild Asset Management Inc., subadvisor for Pacific Funds℠ U.S. Equity Funds.
When Active Beats Passive: A White Paper by Baird
While many U.S. investors have shifted their holdings from actively managed accounts to indexed vehicles in an effort to capitalize on recent equity market tailwinds, the relative performance of passive strategies over the past decade doesn't necessarily justify that decision. This white paper from Baird Equity Asset Management explains why.
The Risk Contribution of Stocks
Most investors tend to believe that stocks are a good—perhaps even the best—investment in the long run. However, the reason for expecting good performance from stocks is perhaps not always clearly articulated: Quite simply, it is because they are risky. “The Risk Contribution of Stocks” is Part 1 of a 3-part series.
The Importance of Asset Allocation vs Security Selection
Virtually nobody disputes that Asset Allocation has the greatest impact on portfolio performance and yet most Advisor-designed portfolios are dominated by active funds trying to “win” through security selection.
If you want to construct resilient portfolios that can thrive under most market conditions (including periods like the 2008 Global Financial Crisis), it’s time to consider global adaptive asset allocation. We’ve prepared this exclusive whitepaper to explain why. Don’t miss it!
Why NAFTA Negotiations Are Stuck: A Look at Key Issues
NAFTA is facing an existential threat. The US and its global trading partners could be entering uncharted territory.
Is The Best Yet To Come For Equity Investors?
In the current long bull market, many investors are wondering if the stock market can continue its steady rise. Are the markets and global economy “as good as it gets,” or is “the best yet to come” for equity investors? Chautauqua Capital Management explores this question in its recent market update and global outlook.
Sector Teams' Outlook
What’s ahead for major market sectors in 2018? Experts from research, trading and portfolio management at Loomis Sayles weigh in.
2017 Year-End Review
It’s tempting, and quite natural, to want to attribute strong performance in any given year to superhuman work ethic, insight, or talent. The fact is, our superb results this year reflect less on the value of our strategies, and more on the role of luck on short-term investment results. What made 2017 a perfect positive storm for certain multi-asset strategies? And what features make certain multi-asset strategies more likely to prosper in the years ahead? All this and a lot more insights in ReSolve’s 2017 Annual Review
Pacific Funds Perspectives Annual Outlook
Are low levels of volatility and continued growth sustainable? In this outlook, Pacific Funds investment managers discuss insights, themes, and trends that may shape the market in 2018.
Value, Growth, or Both? A Framework for Allocating to Small-Cap U.S. Equity
While investing solely in a small-cap core strategy can provide a set-it-and-forget-it approach, those who believe in rebalancing or taking tactical views may prefer both small-cap value and small-cap growth strategies.
How to Navigate the Amazon Risk in the Consumer Space
There’s no questioning Amazon's impact on the consumer sector. The market continues to reward the company for its ambition, demonstrated success in taking market share, disruption of traditional business models, and expansion into new verticals and channels. However, this doesn't mean other opportunities don't exist in the consumer space.
In this recent white paper, Baird Equity Asset Management explores what some have dubbed "The Amazon Effect" in the changing consumer sector. Read on for timely insight on the risks and opportunities in today’s markets.
Skis And Bikes: The Untold Story Of Diversification
“The “free lunch” of diversification is that it allows investors to keep more of their money invested in high return assets while lowering the overall risk of the portfolio. Learn how to build explosion resistant, bulletproof portfolios to weather the markets’ most hostile environments. We guarantee you’ve never learned about diversification like this before.
20-Point System Template
Adopt a rainmaking mind-set to boost revenue. Download our free template outlining the 20-point system that can help you stay focused on revenue-generating activities. Learn practical strategies and techniques you can start implementing today to increase referrals, optimize strategic alliances, network more effectively, market to clients and prospects, and hold yourself accountable for your own success!
The State of High Yield
Does the high yield bond market offer enough value at this point in the credit cycle?
Yes, You Can Eat Sharpe Ratios
Investors are much more likely to achieve their target returns, regardless of investment environment, by investing in diversified portfolios with scaled exposure along the Capital Market Line. We showcase a live case study and describe steps investors can take to achieve very attractive results.
Pricing Your Advisory Business
Take a fresh look at pricing your advisory business. Download our free guide to learn how small changes to your fee structure can have a big impact on your bottom line, protect you against market downturns and withdrawals, and entice clients to consolidate more assets with your firm.
Portfolio Manager Viewpoints
Given relative-value considerations and the potential for a return of volatility, bank loans may serve as a strong complement to other risk factors in an overall diversified portfolio. In this article, Pacific Funds portfolio managers, JP Leasure and Michael Marzouk, discuss the loan market, outlook, and portfolio strategy for the remainder of 2017.
Navigating Risks and Opportunities in the Global Market
Uncertainty abounds in the global marketplace – what are the risks and opportunities, and what is an investor to do in today’s markets? Chautauqua Capital Management discusses how to invest in the current environment.
A Decade of Results: The Past, Present, and Future of Schwab Fundamental Index Funds
It’s been 10 years since Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. first launched the Schwab Fundamental Index Funds. Fundamental Index strategies were among the first to hit the market within the strategic beta universe.
Investment Outlook: October 2017
Eight years into its run, the global expansion looks poised to continue. What might this mean for asset markets?
Your Business, Your Way
Download our free side-by-side comparison of the five affiliation models that deliver what your business needs at every stage of its evolution. You’ll learn that however you serve your clients, Commonwealth delivers the infrastructure that has you covered.
When Credit Diverges from Equity
It’s a common misconception that credit and equity performance move in tandem. When can divergence occur and how can credit investors prepare?
Fiscal Policy to the Forefront
Pacific Funds portfolio managers discuss the current market environment, fiscal and regulatory policy, and their broad positioning for the second half of 2017.
Risk-Adjusted Income: A Prescription for Yield-Starved Investors
Many income-seeking investors may need a new approach in today's low-yield environment. Loomis Sayles can offer a unique solution.
Agency MBS: Still Attractive for Now
The Fed is withdrawing from the MBS market, but we see a number of positives supporting agency MBS over the next 6 to 12 months.
Pacific Funds Perspectives Mid-Year Outlook
Uncertainty was a major theme in the first half of 2017, which had a pronounced impact on the financial markets. In times like these, it’s important to work with investment managers who are experienced at navigating these markets. Pacific FundsSM investment managers discuss insights, themes, and trends that may shape the market in the remainder of 2017.
Loomis Sayles' Investment Outlook
Investor confidence in the global outlook for monetary policy, economic growth and inflation has kept risk appetite high and volatility contained. Can it continue?
5 Best Practices for Philanthropists
Your clients look to you for guidance and advice when crafting long-term financial plans. Understanding your clients’ charitable interests and passions can provide a unique opportunity for you to expand your relationship and help create a long-term strategic plan that also impacts their favorite charitable causes. For additional insights on guiding your clients through the development of their charitable plan, Vanguard Charitable has gathered five best practices for philanthropists, drawing on years of experience working with donors and charities.
Sector Performance During the Summer Months
Portfolio Manager Viewpoint - Credit Markets
The post-U.S. presidential election environment has seen a sharp rally in risk assets and economic optimism. In this note, David Weismiller, portfolio manager for Pacific Asset Management’s investment-grade bond strategies, discusses the market environment and current investment positioning.
Navigating the Investing Complexities of China
After an extremely rapid industrial transformation, China sits at a crossroads that presents both compelling opportunities and significant risks. However, investing success demands a deep understanding of China’s long-term plans, political landscape and key trends. Brian Beitner, Managing Partner of Chautauqua Capital Management, discusses China’s complexities and inherent investment opportunities.
Aluminum: Where the US and China Align
Recent trade actions against Chinese aluminum imports may result in higher tariffs. Ironically, the US and China have their interests aligned in this area.
Loomis Sayles' Investment Outlook
The ongoing economic and profits recoveries mean global risk assets could see modest upside from here.
Climbing the Wall of Optimism
Will markets be able to climb the wall of optimism given the recent surge in consumer and business confidence driven by the policy actions of the new U.S. president's administration? Pacific Funds portfolio managers discuss market sentiment, potential economic growth, and their outlook for the balance of 2017.
Euro Area Political Risks Rise To The Fore
In 2017, the risks to the euro area stem from politics, not the economy.
Down to Business: The Outlook for Stocks in the First 100 Days of the Trump Administration
President Trump’s campaign promises may have important implications for the economy and the stock market. In this Q&A, our U.S. equity investment professionals discuss how the first 100 days of the new administration may impact the market.
2017 Sector Teams' Outlook
We’re modestly optimistic about 2017, but there are a host of unknowns as we become acquainted with our new President Trump, what policies he may pursue, and how they will impact the world body politic. Loomis Sayles' sector teams weigh in on potential opportunities in the year ahead.
Uncertainty was a major theme in 2016, which had a pronounced impact on the financial markets. In times like these, it’s important to work with investment managers who are experienced at navigating these markets. In this outlook, Pacific Funds investment managers discuss insights, themes, and trends that may shape the market in 2017.
Equity Market Review and Outlook: Q4 2016
For the first time in quite a while, Washington could prove to be a source of positive earnings catalysts in the months ahead.
Top Five Macro Themes for 2017
What a difference a few months can make. The world economy now looks to be on sounder footing, with economic data surprising to the upside, developed and emerging market economic momentum improving, global manufacturing recovering and the US profits recession ended.
Under Control: How a Disciplined Approach Can Keep Investors Focused
Investing for the long term is not a new concept, yet an increasingly large body of research suggests that investors are prone to short-term thinking. Although behavioral finance has identified the importance of taking emotion out of investing, for many this is easier said than done. While behavioral modifications can help, we believe that a risk-controlled investment approach can help limit rash decisions, while keeping investors focused on the long term.
Bond Market Review and Outlook - Q4 2016
Markets were in reflation mode during the final weeks of 2016, sending the 10-year US Treasury yield to its highest level in more than two years. While economic indicators have shown modest improvement, most of the rise in yields is built on lofty expectations. In the coming years, we think a strengthening macro backdrop may support modestly higher yields.
Reshuffling the Deck: Industry Impacts of a Trump White House
A Trump White House: Potential Market Impacts of the US Election
Donald Trump’s presidential upset has stunned financial markets, which had heavily discounted a Clinton victory. What might Trump’s policy proposals mean for markets and key components of the US economy going forward?
Managed Futures: How to Diversify with Trend Following
With the Fed poised to raise rates and equities trading close to historical valuation peaks, the prospect of lower returns and higher correlations between asset classes has left many investors seeking sources of return which are not correlated to traditional stock and bond performance.
Trend following is one strategy that has the potential to profit from rising rates without depending upon positive equity market performance, however, allocating to the space does present some unique challenges. In a new whitepaper, CSAM seeks to address key implementation questions regarding allocating to trend following, including why now might be an appropriate time to invest and how to fund and size an allocation.
Equity Market Review and Outlook
We expect equities to continue their slow uptrend into next year.
When does active beat passive in small-cap?
Can the shift to value account for the improved relative results for many small-cap active managers in the last year?
Quarterly Macro Insights: October 2016
Senior Global Economist James Balfour explores some of the key macro themes influencing global markets.
Bond Market Review & Outlook
Fiscal policy developments could create bond market volatility going forward, but historically low interest rates are likely to persist.
The New Conundrum
How can the Fed uphold a dual mandate while recognizing the interdependence of global policies, economies, and financial conditions? Pacific Funds portfolio managers assess the new conundrum that Federal Reserve Board Chair Janet Yellen is facing and what it means for the remainder of 2016.
Advisor Perspectives featuring Cognios' Thought Leader
Credit Migration: Worse Than You Think, Not as Bad as You Fear
Is This the Endgame for the Current M&A Boom?
Back to the Future: Revisiting the Scourge of Secular Stagnation
Equity Market Review & Outlook
Quarterly Macro Insights: July 2016
Bond Market Review & Outlook
Take a look inside the minds of modern investors.
Six Ways to Grow AUM with Financial Services Cloud
How to Exceed Client Expectations in Wealth Management
Quarterly Newsletter | Q1 16
The Modernization of Private Equity – Understanding and Implementing Private Equity Today
Managed Futures and CTAs: A Smorgasbord
Actively Managed Exchange-Traded Products at Age Seven
The timeless (and timely) case for high-yield bonds
Unlocking the Credit Cycle
Telemedia's New Reality Show: Cord-Cutting, Shaving and Cord-Nevers
Quarterly Macro Insights: April 2016
Rethinking Investment Returns & How Math Impacts Results
Allocating to “Liquid Alternatives” – The Importance of Correlation
Return on Equity: A Compelling Case for Investors
Understanding Today’s Affluent
The Dividends of a Quality and Growth Factor Approach
The Fed’s Clock Just Struck Thirteen
Managed Futures During Equity “Crises”– An Update
The New Core: Diversification Based Investing
The Best Time to Accumulate Long Credit Bonds May Be Now
A Comeback for Value: Pessimism Paves the Way
The Wild West of 2016
Growth Investing in Times of Market Volatility
Fees at a Crossroads: Adopting an advisory fee model that reflects your true value.
8 Steps Toward a Tech-Savvy Practice
Financial Turning Points: New Money, Old Habits
Diversifying with Alts
The Power of Mid-Caps: Investing in a "Sweet Spot" of the Market
For more information on submitting your thought leader White Paper contact: firstname.lastname@example.org or (781) 376-0050