Germany, Startups, and Inflation
Wie Gehts mit Deutschland?; Jump-Starting U.S. Startups; Big Data Is Changing Inflation
Copper Well Positioned to Lead the Next Resource Cycle
Global copper capacity could be short some 41,000 tons by as early as 2021, says one commodities research firm. Meaning: We could be looking at another commodities super-cycle, with the red metal leading the way.
Time to Change Strategy
Friends don’t let friends buy and hold. At a minimum, you need some type of hedging program on your equity portfolios. Using a simple 200-day moving average to signal the time for going to cash, while not the best, will help protect you from the worst of a massive bear market.
Eurozone Debt Disputes Make an Unhappy Union
Once upon a time, bonds backed by a government’s full faith and credit pledge were generally considered less risky than corporate bonds. Times have changed. In today’s political climate, not all governments inspire us with the same confidence.
Five Key Ways Advisors Deliver Value in 2019
What is the value of a financial advisor in 2019? We break down the full value of an advisor’s services in this easy-to-follow equation.
Growth Prospects and Challenges Ahead for the U.S., U.K., Eurozone, China, and Japan
The economic slowdown that began in late 2018 has started to stabilize. Trade tensions and policy uncertainty took a toll on confidence and financial markets late last year, but both seem less threatening today. Financial conditions have eased as major central banks maintain a fairly accommodative stance amid a subdued inflation outlook.
Monthly Market Commentary: April 2019
All of the “signals” we’ve been focusing on in the past several months remain solidly “in the green”. So why are we apprehensive? Perhaps we shouldn’t be, and simply are falling prey to our inner “Chicken Little” who always thinks the sky is falling. We’ve been guilty of that before.
What a difference three months make. For the full year 2018, every primary asset class was negative: the S&P 500 lost 4.6%, commodities were down 13.9%, long-dated US Treasury bonds were down 1.6%, and gold gave up 1.9%. Contrast that with the first quarter of 2019 – every one of those assets was up!
Indonesia's Election Outcome Removes Overhang for Equities
With Jokowi appearing set to retain power, equity flows should improve and indications are positive for economic reforms as political uncertainty is dispelled.
Inflation Expectations vs. Probability of a 2019 Fed Rate Cut
Projections of Fed rate changes appear misaligned with inflation expectations and GDP growth.
Building Unlisted Infrastructure into Your Portfolio – Overcoming Four Key Obstacles.
Does exposure to unlisted infrastructure benefit the average portfolio?
GDP Much Stronger Than Expected in First Quarter
The US economy has a tendency to lag in the 1Q following big holiday spending, but not this year. While there have been widespread predictions that the economy was slowing down and the recovery might be ending, the latest GDP report put all that to rest.
Moat Investing, Powered by Morningstar
Moat investing is based on a simple concept: invest in companies with sustainable competitive advantages trading at attractive valuations.
Moving Averages: April Month-End Update
Valid until the market close on May 31, 2019.
The S&P 500 closed April with a monthly gain of 3.93% after a gain of 1.79% in March. All three S&P 500 MAs are signaling "invested" and four of five Ivy Portfolio ETFs — Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), Vanguard FTSE All-World ETF (VEU), iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury (IEF), and Vanguard REIT Index ETF (VNQ) — are signaling "invested".