Testing 4: FHFA House Price Index: Up 0.8% in January
Testing 4: The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has released its U.S. House Price Index (HPI) for January. U.S. house prices were up 0.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted nominal basis from the previous month. Year-over-year the index is up 7.3% (nonseasonally adjusted). Seasonally adjusted, the index is up 5.60% year-over-year.
Testing 4: Kansas City Fed Survey: Growth Maintained in March
Testing round 4: description. The latest index came in at 17, unchanged from last month, which indicates that activity expanded in March. The future outlook decreased to 33 from 38 last month. Here is a snapshot of the complete Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey.
Killing Each Other
Bill Gross' March 2018 Investment Outlook: A monthly outlook on the global financial markets.
Powell Takes Charge
In his first meeting as Chair of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell and company delivered what almost everyone had been expecting, a 25 basis point hike in the federal funds rate, and raised expectations for economic activity in the months and years ahead.
Hawks, Doves and Jays: Takeaways From First Fed Rate Hike Under Jerome "Jay" Powell
With new chair Jerome Powell at the helm, the Fed increased borrowing costs today for the sixth time since the U.S. economic expansion began. Can markets expect continued rate hikes under Powell's watch?
Fed Outlook: Headwinds Shift to Tailwinds, But Pace of Hikes Still Gradual
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s announcement of another 25 basis point hike in the fed funds rate range to 1.5% to 1.75% was widely expected by us and by markets. The more interesting aspect of the March FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting is the change to central bank officials’ forecasts.
Do Your Target-Date Funds Measure Up to Rising Rates?
Rising US interest rates could pose a challenge for target-date funds (TDFs) that concentrate on “core” US fixed-income exposure. Diversifying across a broad range of bond markets and strategies can create a cushion in a rising-rate environment.
Fed Remains in Tightening Mode in March
The US Federal Reserve remained in tightening mode at its March monetary policy meeting, raising its benchmark interest rate for the sixth time since December 2015.
The Fed Has the Direction of Prices Correct, but Could be Undershooting the Magnitude
Today the Fed hiked the Fed Funds rate by .25% and also updated their policy statement and the so called dot plot, which is a compilation of the FOMC members projections’ for GDP growth, unemployment and prices.
For Stocks, What Consumers Say Outweighs What They Do
Russ discusses why stocks can still thrive when consumers are confident, but frugal.
Weekly Unemployment Claims: Up 3K, Worse Than Forecast
This morning's seasonally adjusted 229K new claims, up 3K from the previous week's figure, was above the Investing.com forecast of 225K. From the release: "The claims taking procedures in Puerto Rico and in the Virgin Islands have still not returned to normal."
Pairs Trade: Bullish Energy Sector & Bearish Financial Sector
As of this writing, WTI crude oil is back above $65/barrel, closing in on the recent $66.33 high on January 26. While oil and US equities have been in a “wedge” formation where, hemmed in by the January 26 high and the February 90 low, crude oil has broken out from its wedge.
Worried About Rising Rates? I Believe this Strategy Could Be the Answer
With interest rates continuing to creep up, there’s a changing of the guard at the Federal Reserve. In my travels and during conferences, I’ve spoken with many fixed-income investors who wonder how they can best prepare for the uncertainty these changes might bring.
The Death of Roboadvisors has been Greatly Underestimated
Here’s my call for 2018: Most robo-advisors are going to fail. Read on to see why I don’t drink the Robo Kool-Aid that the financial industry and media are serving up.