The International Channel

Asset Allocation Views: Singles and Doubles

With market volatility on the rise, consider a broad set of relative value opportunities across global markets.

The End Is Near for the US Credit Cycle. Are You Prepared?

The US corporate credit cycle is nearing its end, and the cycle in parts of Europe isn’t far behind. This can create treacherous conditions for unprepared investors. The first line of defense, in our view, is knowing what to expect.

How Infrastructure Companies Could Rebuild the World

While it seems US politicians rarely see eye-to-eye on anything, the fact that America’s aging infrastructure needs attention is one issue that has attracted clear bipartisan agreement. Yet, it’s unclear who is going to foot the bill for the sweeping improvements that seem to be needed.

When Value Goes Global

When the value trade goes global, investors are poised to benefit. Evidence from the international equity, bond, currency, and commodity markets indicates that the value premium is a global phenomenon that can offer important portfolio diversification. However, the devil is in the details: we argue that the successful implementation of global value strategies critically depends on an economically motivated design.

Trump Plays with Fire on Trade

With his announcement last week of broad tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, President Trump launched what could be the first salvo of an all-out global trade war. Seemingly itching for a fight, he gleefully tweeted that "Trade wars are good, and easy to win."

Contemplating Value in Emerging Markets Intelligently, with a Little Help from Ben Graham

In the latest GMO Emerging Equity Insights, titled “Contemplating Value in Emerging Markets Intelligently, with a Little Help from Ben Graham” Amit Bhartia and Matt Seto revisit Ben Graham’s principles of value investing and extrapolate them to investing in emerging markets.

January Trade Deficit at $56.60B, Up 5.0% MoM

The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, also known as the FT-900, is published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis with data going back to 199 and details U.S. exports and imports of goods and services. Today's headline number of -56.60B was worse than the forecast of -52.60B.

Three Ways Female Financial Advisors Can Help Other Women

At the core of it, every advisor is an entrepreneur. I love seeing successful female advisors because they have the potential to change the world. Here are the three most important ones that I’m celebrating on International Women’s Day.


“Smoot-Hawley Tariff was an act implementing protectionist trade policies sponsored by Senator Reed Smoot and Representative Willis C. Hawley and was signed into law on June 17, 1930. The act raised U.S. tariffs on over 20,000 imported goods.”. . . Wikipedia

Emperor Xi: Part I

The Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party recently announced it would end term limits on president and vice president. Thus, President Xi Jinping will be able to maintain his current position beyond his 2nd term.

The February Dynasty Monthly Market Commentary: "If You Can Keep Your Head..."

We view the events of late January and early February as healthy – the final “death spasm” of market reliance on central bank policy, and a return to more normalized market conditions – volatility returns, earnings and fundamentals matter, and a reminder that stocks can go down sometimes as well as always up.

Weighing the Week Ahead: Will the US Launch a Trade War?

The economic calendar is normal but featuring the monthly employment report. Usually that would be the focus, and it might become so by week’s end. Until the situation is clarified, the paramount question will be: Has the US ignited a trade war?

The World is Not Enough

A few weeks ago, I caught myself pulled in by an old James Bond classic, The World is Not Enough, starring Pierce Brosnan. In the movie, an oil heiress, Elektra King, is kidnapped. While in captivity, she becomes a victim to Stockholm Syndrome and plots with her captor to destroy an oil pipeline running to the Bosphorus Sea. There is a scene in the movie that encapsulates where we are in today’s stock market environment.

World Markets Update

Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, March 5, 2018. The top performer this year is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 1.77%. In second is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 0.69%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng is in third with a YTD loss of 0.11%.

Gregg Fisher – The Advantage of Multi-Factor Investing

Gregg S. Fisher founded Gerstein Fisher in 1993 based on a vision of offering a quantitative investment management approach grounded in sound economic theory and more efficiently implemented through technology. In this interview, he discusses the virtues of multi-factor investing and which factors are attractive in today’s market.