High Yield in Variable Markets
Christopher Romanelli examines the factors that could support the high yield market in a world of tighter monetary policy.
Behind Davis Advisors’ “Wall of Mistakes”
Danton G. Goei joined Davis Advisors in 1998. He is a portfolio manager for the Davis Large Cap, Global, and International Portfolios and a member of the research team for other portfolios. In this interview, he discusses those funds and why Davis maintains a “wall of mistakes” that immortalizes its investment blunders.
INVEST LIKE THE PROS: Using Liquidity Premiums to Drive Better Portfolio Outcomes
At a time of low expected returns, low current yields and economic uncertainty, individual investors are demanding new options. Recent advances in product design enable investors to access less liquid and illiquid institutional-caliber alternatives in a “user-friendly” format which preserves the integrity of the underlying strategy. These new product designs contrast mutual funds which may contain watered-down liquid versions of the original.
New thinking about liquidity, its role in a portfolio and improved access to a wide spectrum of alternatives enables investors to deploy less liquid strategies and capitalize on liquidity premiums.
Scenario Planning: Expectations for Interest Rates
An entire generation of advisors and investors has grown up observing interest rates that only go down and bond prices that only go up. But with potentially volatile interest rates, investors may experience losses in their fixed income portfolios if they don’t adapt to a variety of different scenarios. This guide takes a look at strategies to help investors pursue their financial goals amid changing interest rates.
How a Pair of Hedge Fund Billionaires Bought the NBA’s Worst Team
Can the discipline required to invest in distressed assets be applied to purchasing the ultimate trophy asset – a professional sports franchise? Marc Lasry and Jamie Dinan found that it can, but only to a point, when they bought the NBA’s worst team.
Hotchkis & Wiley: Exploiting the Inefficiencies in Small-Cap Stocks
Judd Peters is a portfolio manager of the Hotchkis & Wiley Small Cap Diversified Value Fund (HWVIX). Since its inception, the fund’s annualized return has been 9.45%, resulting in a 254 basis point outperformance versus Russell 2000 Value Index. The fund is rated five stars by Morningstar. I interviewed Judd last week.
High Yield Train Wreck
The first defaults will occur at the lowest end of the problematic market: high yield or “junk” bonds. They will play a role comparable to subprime mortgages in the last crisis. We’ll see mortgage problems as well, but I think overleveraged companies will be the core problem.
Building a Better U.S. Economy
This shouldn’t surprise anyone, but public trust in the federal government is eroding. Sixty years ago, 75 percent of Americans expressed faith in the government to do the right thing “most of the time” or “just about always.” Seventy-five percent! You can’t get 75 percent of people to agree on anything now, as the recent “Laurel or Yanny” video proved.
When an Innocuous Correction is the Start of a Sinister Bear Market
It's true that equities fall before the start of most recessions. So why bother following the economy; why not just follow the price of equities? "Market corrections" occur every 20 months, but less than a third of these actually becomes a bear market. Recessions almost always lead to bear markets, and bear markets outside of recessions are uncommon. For that reason, discerning whether a recession is imminent can help determine when an innocuous correction is probably the start of a sinister bear market.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Down 0.24% from Yesterday
The S&P 500 fluctuated around a smaller interval to start the week and dropped midweek. The index saw a gain of 0.31% from last Friday and 0.24% loss from yesterday. The index is up 0.95% YTD and is 5.27% below its record close.
ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update
This morning's release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 148.5, down 0.2 from the previous week. Year-over-year the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at 3.34%, down from 3.80% last week. The WLI Growth indicator is now at 3.5, down from the previous week.
The "Real" Goods on the April Durable Goods Data
This morning, the Census Bureau posted the Advance Report on Durable Goods New Orders. This series dates from 1992 and is not adjusted for either population growth or inflation. Let's now review Durable Goods data with two adjustments.
Michigan Consumer Sentiment: May Final Slips Slightly
The University of Michigan Final Consumer Sentiment for May came in at 98.0, down 0.8 from the April Final reading. Investing.com had forecast 98.8.
Beyond the FAANGs: Technology Stocks and Downside Protection
Technology stocks are widely seen as powerful return drivers—with a lot of volatility attached. But surprisingly, shares of many companies that enable the technology revolution can provide solid returns and even downside protection.
‘Simplification Day’ for Oil & Gas MLPs: What Investors Need to Know
We believe the news is evidence of a broader shift toward simpler corporate structures in the midstream energy sector – a trend that supports our investment approach and our constructive view of the sector.