A massive amount of stock market capitalization is tied up in companies based on both their potential market share and hypothetical future profits. The popular arguments in their favor come from looking at a company’s total addressable market (TAM). Sky high price-to-earnings ratios and massive capitalizations are common in companies with a large TAM as we finish up 2017.
Home Prices Rose 6.2% Year-over-Year in September
With today's release of the September S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, we learned that seasonally adjusted home prices for the benchmark 20-city index were up 0.5% month over month. The seasonally adjusted national index year-over-year change has hovered between 4.2% and 6.2% for the last thirty months. Today's S&P/Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (nominal) reached another new high.
Bitcoin and Metcalfe's Law
Thoughts on cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin. With the recent run up in the Bitcoin price, cryptocurrencies have been garnering much greater attention from the public at large. A rapid price rise like this presents a difficult situation for potential new investors into the space.
World Markets Update
All eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains for 2017 through November 27. The top performer thus far is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 34.93%, followed by India's BSE SENSEX at 26.81%. In third is Tokyo's Nikkei with 17.69%.
On My Radar: Trade Signals Remain Risk On
Happy Thanksgiving to you and your wonderful family. Today’s post is holiday short because by the time it hits your in box I’ll hopefully be home with IPA in hand celebrating a hard-fought Black Friday golf tournament victory. Daughter, Brianna; son, Matthew and good friend, Stevie Oh, rounds out our foursome. If you are familiar with golf, it’s a scramble format where each player tees off.
Taking Tally of the Global Rally
As we look ahead to 2018, it’s important to first recognize how significant 2017 has been for international markets. This is the eighth year of a global bull market, but prior to 2017, international markets had trailed the US for four consecutive years — and for six of the last seven years.
The Federal Reserve versus Moore’s Law
How technology slows inflation across the economy.
The Bonfire Burns On
The volume of daily economic lunacy that lights up my various devices is truly stunning, and it seems to be increasing. I shared a little of it with you in last week’s “Bonfire of the Absurdities.” Since it’s a holiday weekend and I was traveling all week, today I’ll just give you a few more absurdities to ponder. And this shorter letter will lighten your weekend reading load.
Gobble, Gobble: Thanksgiving Dinners Stuffed with Savings Despite Rising Fuel Costs
A helpful way to look at inflation is the changing cost of a typical Thanksgiving dinner for 10 people. For the second straight year, the cost actually declined from the previous year’s holiday, according to the American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF). This year’s feast, including staples such as turkey, rolls, sweet potatoes and more, fell $0.75 to a five-year low of $49.12. On an inflation-adjusted basis, that’s down more than $10 from 30 years ago. The turkey alone cost about 1.6 percent less than last year.
Jeremy Siegel: The S&P 500 is Fairly Valued
The bull market in U.S. equities is behind us, according to Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel, who says that the S&P 500 is now “fairly priced.”
Neil Hennessy – The Opportunities in Mid-Cap and Japanese Stocks
Neil Hennessy is a portfolio manager and chief investment officer at Hennessy Funds. In this interview, he discusses the compelling opportunities in mid-cap and Japanese stocks, and what RIAs should be doing in advance of the next market correction.
How Have Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria Impacted the Municipal Bond Market?
The financial impact of 2017’s three devastating hurricanes has varied greatly depending on the region affected. From a credit standpoint, the most important takeaway is that each region’s ability to withstand the financial impact of the storms depends on its credit quality ahead of the storm.
On My Radar: A Fatal Attraction for the Slim Chance
My daughter, Brianna, and I were recently listening to a Charlie Rose interview on Bloomberg Radio. I love the way he asks direct questions. The interview featured Jeremiah Tower, a little-known chef who pioneered a restaurant revolution in the 1970s that gave rise to the culinary style known as “California Cuisine.”
How do you measure an active manager’s success?
Financial research and technology can dissect individual funds to attribute the reasons behind performance.