The Economic Insights Channel

Helping Investors Plan for Retirement

Dimensional Fund Advisors will share research that can help advisors design and implement solutions for clients saving for or already in retirement. Participants will learn:

All presenters will answer attendees’ questions during the webinar and will be available to continue the discussion on APViewpoint.

Germany, Startups, and Inflation

Wie Gehts mit Deutschland?; Jump-Starting U.S. Startups; Big Data Is Changing Inflation

Copper Well Positioned to Lead the Next Resource Cycle

Global copper capacity could be short some 41,000 tons by as early as 2021, says one commodities research firm. Meaning: We could be looking at another commodities super-cycle, with the red metal leading the way.

Time to Change Strategy

Friends don’t let friends buy and hold. At a minimum, you need some type of hedging program on your equity portfolios. Using a simple 200-day moving average to signal the time for going to cash, while not the best, will help protect you from the worst of a massive bear market.

S&P 500 Snapshot: Just Off All Time High

The S&P 500 ended the week a fraction of a percent off the all-time high. The index spent most of the week around its last all-time high, began to fall on Wednesday, and bounced back on Friday. It is up 0.96% from yesterday, up 0.2% from last week, and up 17.50% YTD.

The Big Four Economic Indicators: April Nonfarm Employment

This commentary has been updated to include this morning's release of Nonfarm Employment. April's 263K increase in total nonfarm payrolls had revisions that resulted in 16K more jobs than previously reported. The Investing.com consensus was for 181K new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain at 3.8%.

The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq Since Their 2000 Highs

This update is in response to a standing request for real (inflation-adjusted) charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq Composite.

The Latest Look at the Total Return Roller Coaster

Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The purchasing power of your investment has increased to $16,627 for an annualized real return of 9.77%.

Fed Evaluates Policy and Portfolio Strategy

A quiet and unsurprising FOMC statement belies the important policy discussions and decisions ongoing at the Fed.

Emerging Market Stocks Underperform When the US Dollar Strengthens…Here’s Why

The relationship between the performance of emerging market stocks and the US dollar is one of the tightest macro relationships that exists in investing.

Growth Prospects and Challenges Ahead for the U.S., U.K., Eurozone, China, and Japan

The economic slowdown that began in late 2018 has started to stabilize. Trade tensions and policy uncertainty took a toll on confidence and financial markets late last year, but both seem less threatening today. Financial conditions have eased as major central banks maintain a fairly accommodative stance amid a subdued inflation outlook.

Monthly Market Commentary: April 2019

All of the “signals” we’ve been focusing on in the past several months remain solidly “in the green”. So why are we apprehensive? Perhaps we shouldn’t be, and simply are falling prey to our inner “Chicken Little” who always thinks the sky is falling. We’ve been guilty of that before.

1Q 19 Market Commentary

What a difference three months can make! Today, the bear has run back into its cave, the Fed has turned dovish, interest rates have plummeted, and stock markets have mostly recovered.

April Jobs Report: 263K New Jobs, Beats Forecast

This morning's employment report for April showed a 263K increase in total nonfarm payrolls, which was better than forecasts.

Markit Services PMI: "Slowest business activity growth since March 2017"

The April US Services Purchasing Managers' Index conducted by Markit came in at 53.0 percent, down 2.3 from the final March estimate of 55.3. The Investing.com consensus was for 52.8 percent.